Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.033188 0.038433 0.044248 0.051174 0.059203 0.068221 0.079128
2026-01-11 0.024885 0.031733 0.040087 0.051040 0.065042 0.082370 0.105491
2026-01-18 0.020263 0.027813 0.037724 0.051711 0.070989 0.096695 0.133706
2026-01-25 0.017366 0.025319 0.036405 0.053027 0.077400 0.111966 0.164961
2026-02-01 0.014442 0.022168 0.033509 0.051417 0.079110 0.120517 0.187538
2026-02-08 0.012504 0.020095 0.031757 0.051046 0.082326 0.131364 0.214682
2026-02-15 0.010934 0.018318 0.030142 0.050541 0.085080 0.141612 0.242014
2026-02-22 0.009902 0.017239 0.029450 0.051353 0.089956 0.155720 0.277434
2026-03-01 0.008854 0.015975 0.028255 0.051095 0.092880 0.166768 0.308877
2026-03-08 0.007795 0.014541 0.026568 0.049709 0.093548 0.173823 0.333886
2026-03-15 0.006884 0.013252 0.024967 0.048241 0.093813 0.180068 0.358038
2026-03-22 0.006392 0.012683 0.024613 0.049060 0.098480 0.195057 0.401036
2026-03-29 0.005864 0.011990 0.023961 0.049255 0.102035 0.208504 0.443186
2026-04-05 0.005383 0.011330 0.023296 0.049342 0.105389 0.221991 0.487377
2026-04-12 0.005016 0.010859 0.022949 0.050037 0.110087 0.238813 0.541051
2026-04-19 0.004739 0.010544 0.022885 0.051319 0.116203 0.259388 0.605897
2026-04-26 0.004254 0.009710 0.021612 0.049763 0.115779 0.265514 0.638380
2026-05-03 0.003917 0.009166 0.020907 0.049405 0.118041 0.277954 0.687481
2026-05-10 0.003605 0.008643 0.020188 0.048917 0.119920 0.289712 0.736522
2026-05-17 0.003409 0.008370 0.020012 0.049702 0.124971 0.309637 0.808786
2026-05-24 0.003166 0.007952 0.019445 0.049453 0.127414 0.323467 0.867270
2026-05-31 0.002883 0.007401 0.018491 0.048112 0.126902 0.329803 0.906790
2026-06-07 0.002623 0.006879 0.017551 0.046692 0.126002 0.335026 0.944030